Tag Archives: Strategic Forecast

Pakistan’s New Army Chief: The Sharif Balance Sheet & the Bajwa Forecast

Pakistan’s New Army Chief: The Sharif Balance Sheet & the Bajwa Forecast

NIAS Strategic Forecast No. 10 | Author: D Suba Chandran | November 2016

To read the complete report click here

To cite: D Suba Chandran. Pakistan’s New Army Chief: The Sharif Balance Sheet & the Bajwa Forecast. NIAS Strategic Forecast No. 10. Bangalore: International Strategic and Security Studies Programme, National Institute of Advanced Studies, November 2016, available at


nsf-10For the first time in the last two decades, Pakistan’s Army Chief retired as per scheduled without an extension… The government has announced Gen Qamar Bajwa as the next Army Chief. What are the major challenges for Gen Bajwa? Of course, it is not a clean slate for him; the legacy of his predecessor Gen Raheel Sharif will play an important role in shaping his options. Will he continue where Gen Sharif left, or will he chart his own roadmap? What is the Sharif legacy? And what is the Bajwa forecast?

Gen Bajwa will also have to match Gen Sharif’s popularity. Undoubtedly Gen Sharif was one of the most popular Pakistani Army Chiefs in recent decades. He was viewed as a thorough professional soldier who took tough decisions.

The New Symphony: Emerging Indo-US Security Entente

The New Symphony: Emerging Indo-US Security Entente

NIAS Strategic Forecast No. 8 | Author: Vijay Shankar | July 2016

To read the complete report click here

To cite: Vijay Shankar. The New Symphony: Emerging Indo-US Security Entente. NIAS Strategic Forecast No. 8. Bangalore: International Strategic and Security Studies Programme, National Institute of Advanced Studies, July 2016, available at http://isssp.in/the-new-symphony-emerging-indo-us-security-entente/


NSF 8Change, more often than not, is driven by circumstances rather than scholastic deliberation. As President Obama once put it, perhaps as an unintended barb to the legions of geo-political seers that stalk Massachusetts Avenue, Washington DC, “Change doesn’t come from Washington but comes to Washington.” So it was with Prime Minister Modi’s three-day state visit to the USA (6th June to 8th June 2016). Not only did the visit lay the foundation to several strategic goals mutual to both sides, but was also punctuated by symbolism that provides a basis for the future.

When Modi suggested stepping out of the “shadows of hesitations of the past” he could not have stated in more unequivocal terms that India’s strategic orientation was now one that not only respected the status quo, but also would contribute towards ensuring that attempts to upset it would not go unchallenged. At the same time laying a floral wreath at Arlington Cemetery to the Tomb of the Unknowns (a first for an Indian PM), on the face of it, was a tribute to that one unquestioning instrument of state power who historically has laid down his all for a national cause. Underlying the salute was recognition of the role played by the military in binding and stabilizing an uncertain security milieu.

Conducting Academic and Policy Research related to National and International Security Issues
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